It's where the action is, right?
On the eve of Western Australia's Thursday budget, Shane Wright, economics editor of the West Australian probes the mystery.
Go West! Life is peaceful there
Go West! There in the open air
Go West! Where the skies are blue
Go West! This is what we’re gonna do…
- The Village People
The Village People may not have known when it was time to give up disco, but the message contained in their 1979 anthem is one you would think should be adopted on Australia’s East Coast at every chance.
With the WA economy by far the strongest in the land, a resources boom likely to fuel it well into next decade, beautiful beaches, great weather, you’d have thought Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane airports would be choked with future West Australians.
But it ain’t necessarily so.
Indeed, the failure of WA to attract fellow Australians across the Nullarbor is startling...
Figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics highlight that while the State might be going through an economic boom unparalleled since the gold rushes of the 19th century, WA is just not an attractive destination to people from the East.
I’ve compared population change in WA and Queensland, the other big resource state, whose residents see the sun rise over the Pacific Ocean everyday, rather than set over the Indian Ocean.
WA’s net natural population increase since early 1996 is a touch over 166,000 people. Queensland’s for the same period was 304,000, or about 1.8 times that of WA.
On that count, taking into consideration WA’s smaller population, the State is actually doing better than the Sunshine State.
Next, let’s compare net immigration. WA’s net immigrant intake was 190,000 compared to Queensland’s 900,000, or about 4.7 times that of WA.
Considering Queensland’s high profile overseas this could be expected. But it is still not an overwhelming difference between the two.
But then there’s net interstate migration.
Since early 1996, the net interstate migration of WA has grown just 13,314 – and most of that has been since September 2003. That’s just 13,000 Queenslanders, Victorians, New South Welshmen and women, Taswegians, South Australians and Territorians (of both variety) who’ve bothered to call WA home.
Now look at Queensland. The net interstate population has swelled more than 300,000 – or 22.6 times that of the growth of WA.
This inability to entice easterners over the Nullarbor wouldn’t be such an issue if WA wasn’t going through such an extreme shortage of skilled and unskilled workers.
Australian National University economist Andrew Leigh believes too much has been made of the "skills shortage" – arguing its much more akin to wages being too low.
He uses a simple supply and demand graph to show that if the supply of labour is to lift to meet demand, then the price – or wages for workers – has to lift.
Not that WA has done poorly on this front.
Over the same period as the migration figures, average ordinary time earnings in WA have climbed 76.5 per cent. That’s the highest growth rate in the nation, with the ACT number two at 71.7 per cent. Queensland wages have risen by a respectable 70.5 per cent.
Based on Dr Leigh’s argument, WA wages are going to have to grow much, much more before we overcome the shortage of skilled workers.
Nineteenth century US newspaper editor Horace Greeley is most often attributed with using the phrase "go west, young man", encouraging the footloose and fancy free to develop the western reaches of America.
Look at the West Coast of the US today. You have cities the size and importance of Los Angeles, San Diego, Portland, Seattle and San Francisco.
Compare that to WA – there’s Perth and then, well, virtually nothing (sorry to those residents of Mandurah, Bunbury, Busselton but it’s hard to compare them to LA or San Fran).
Maybe that’s one of the reasons for the problem of encouraging interstate migrants. If you’re moving from regional Victoria, do you head for Melbourne, Sydney, Wollongong, the Sunshine Cost, the Gold Coast or Brisbane – or do you leave the family and friends with just one "real" choice, Perth?
And on the same related issue; while house prices have famously burst through the roof in Perth, they’re at the mezzanine level in Brisbane. The median price of a unit in Perth is the highest in the country, while that of a free-standing house is second only to Sydney.
Then there’s the very simple problem of geography. When Auckland and Wellington are closer to Sydney and Brisbane than Perth, it will always be an uphill battle to woo people from the East.
While ever a flight to Perth from any of the East Coast capital cities is more than twice the price, and duration, of any between the East Coast capital cities – and not through the Perth domestic airport – there is that enormous financial and mental barrier.
Whatever the problem (and I’m sure I’ve just touched upon a few) it is one that goes to the heart of the issues that will confront WA in the years to come.
Maybe its time for the Carpenter Government to think outside the square to entice people West. What about a Village People inspired advertising campaign?
Wednesday, May 07, 2008
Go West! But we're not. And it's surprising.
Posted by
Peter
at
7.5.08
Labels: state budgets
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8 comments:
It's not just enticing them - it's keeping them: what do the figures say about easterners coming to the West, and then going back again. As you say, too far from family, and too expensive housing
I was in the "west" for a holiday in Jan. Standing in front of real estate agency i turned to my girlfriend and said i can't believe the house prices here, and we are a 2 hour drive from Perth! she has shot back with "and thats still a 4 hour flight to civilization" Nice beaches though
Living in Melbourne (but having grown up in Perth) I think that the main issue is that Perth just doesn't get the flow of people through it that eastern states cities get.
Melbourne is full of people who've flown down from wherever for the week for work or play... and people from Melbourne are in other cities all the time (I'm in Sydney right now). You just don't get that many people passing through Perth, and it seems to lead to a kind of parochialism that, for me at least, makes it hard to seriously consider moving back.
Perth's a lovely city -- almost 20 years later and I still miss the beaches -- but it just can't have the cross-pollination that Melbourne and Sydney, in particular, have.
As a native Perthite now living in Melbourne, I find it incredible the number of my fellow Perthites now also living in Melbourne.
Perth just doesn't have the culture and city life to attract people from the Eastern powerhouses of Melbourne and Sydney. Sunday trading, anyone?
I definitely miss the beaches, though.
Andos and Anonymous#2 have pretty much covered it. In the 16 years since this Perth boy escaped the place has changed a lot, but it's still missing a lot too. And the frontier attitude hasn't changed at all. If anything, it's worse. The twon is awash with money but nothing in the way of manners or gentility.
And by the way - the local mega-bank, the R&I, used 'Go West' as its ad jingle for a while. Cringe!
A dip into The Worst of Perth might give a few reasons,
http://theworstofperth.com
but seriously the number of rental properties is almost zero. It's not feasible to come over here and "try it out" because there's nowhere to live.
I proposed elsewhere that Centrelink should collect statistics from those collecting unemployment benefits, asking them if they'd move to Perth if all moving costs were paid and a job was available for them.
If any substantial number of people agreed, then it could be quite a cost saver to move people currently unemployed in Eastern states across the Nullabor into jobs.
Much as I've loved living in Perth for the past 13.5 years, it really seems like a town of rich bogans and Pommy pensioners. The pensioners complain about every possible change that might make the place more interesting (daylight saving, longer trading hours), and the bogans - our nouveau riche - are too busy making piles of money to really take an interest in anything but their own lives. Sure, there's a bit of life in the inner-city suburbs, but there's a lot of talk of "going to Melbourne" among the young professionals who aren't stockbrokers or financiers...
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